IATA: Air passenger demand is projected to grow by 5.7% in November 2025.
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Key highlights of the International Air Transport Association's (IATA) regular global air passenger demand data for November 2025 are as follows:
Total demand (measured in revenue passenger kilometers) increased by 5.7% year-over-year compared to November 2024. Total capacity (measured in available seat kilometers) increased by 5.4% year-over-year, with a load factor of 83.7% in November, a 0.3 percentage point increase year-over-year, marking a new record high for November.
International demand increased by 7.7% year-over-year compared to November 2024. Capacity increased by 7.1% year-over-year, with a load factor of 84.0%, a 0.4 percentage point increase year-over-year.
Domestic demand increased by 2.7% year-over-year compared to November 2024. Capacity increased by 2.7% year-over-year. The load factor was 83.2%, unchanged from the same period last year.
IATA Director General Willie Walsh stated, "Global air travel demand remained strong in November 2025, growing by 5.7% year-on-year. Load factor reached a record high of 83.7% that month. Despite continued pressure on supply chains and limited capacity, airlines actively responded to the growing passenger demand. Entering the new year, the manufacturing sector must prioritize increasing production capacity to meet the actual needs of airline customers. The backlog of over 17,000 aircraft orders accumulated in 2025 urgently needs to be effectively alleviated in 2026."
Regional Segmentation - International Passenger Market
International revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) increased by 7.7% year-on-year in November, performing well. The international flight load factor reached 84.0%, a record high for November. Compared to October, passenger volume growth in all regions except Africa declined slightly.
Asia-Pacific airlines saw demand increase by 9.3% year-on-year in November, capacity increased by 8.7%, and the load factor reached 85.8%, a 0.5 percentage point increase compared to November 2024. Affected by geopolitical tensions, passenger volume growth on the China-Japan route slowed to single digits for the first time in 2025.
European airlines saw demand increase by 6.8% year-on-year in November, capacity increased by 6.1%, and the load factor reached 85.6%, a 0.5 percentage point increase compared to November 2024.
North American airlines saw demand increase by 4.0% year-on-year in November, capacity increased by 4.2%, and the load factor reached 81.0%, a 0.1 percentage point decrease compared to November 2024. In terms of total passenger traffic, North America's load factor has declined year-on-year for ten consecutive months.
Middle Eastern airlines saw a 9.6% year-on-year increase in demand and a 9.2% increase in capacity in November, with a load factor of 81.4%, a 0.3 percentage point increase compared to November 2024.
Latin American airlines saw a 4.4% year-on-year increase in demand and a 4.7% increase in capacity in November, with a load factor of 83.9%, a 0.2 percentage point decrease compared to November 2024.
African airlines saw an 11.2% year-on-year increase in demand and an 8.5% increase in capacity in November, with a load factor of 74.3%, a 1.8 percentage point increase compared to November 2024.
Domestic Passenger Market
Domestic passenger traffic (RPK) increased by 2.7% year-on-year compared to November 2024. Despite a 2.7% increase in capacity, the load factor remained stable at 83.2%. Brazil and India saw the fastest growth in their domestic markets. The US domestic passenger market was the only major market to experience a decline in demand, possibly due to the government shutdown.
