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Soaring Oil Prices May Force Some Airlines To Ground Their Flights!

Mar 15, 2026 Leave a message

                                                  Soaring oil prices may force some airlines to ground their flights!

 

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March 13, 2026, Civil Aviation Resource Network: The escalating conflict in the Middle East has spurred oil prices to record highs, and its shockwaves are spreading to major airlines worldwide.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank stated that soaring aviation fuel costs pose an "existential threat" to airlines, warning that "if relief is not achieved in the short term, airlines around the world may be forced to ground thousands of aircraft; and some of the industry's most financially vulnerable airlines may even be forced to cease operations."

Faced with this situation, airlines are almost universally raising ticket prices and fuel surcharges in response.

The Malaysian government has stated that if the Middle East conflict leads to a significant surge in fuel costs, airlines may have to suspend some flights.

Earlier this week, Malaysia Airlines and its regional subsidiaries Firefly and Batik Air issued notices to travel agencies announcing increases in fuel surcharges.

These increases took effect on most routes on March 11; routes involving Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and the Philippines will be implemented from March 25.

AirAsia, Southeast Asia's largest low-cost carrier, has raised fares and adjusted fuel surcharges, but did not specify the extent of the increases. The airline stated it will "dynamically monitor market conditions and respond proactively as needed."

Air New Zealand has taken its most aggressive step to date, announcing the cancellation of approximately 1,100 flights-about 5% of its total flight schedule-until early May. These cuts primarily target domestic routes during off-peak hours, aiming to optimize fuel efficiency; they are expected to affect approximately 44,000 passengers.

Air New Zealand also immediately raised fares: domestic fares increased by NZ$10, and long-haul fares by up to NZ$90. Although the airline has heavily hedged crude oil prices, it still faces the risk of increased costs in refining crude oil into aviation fuel-refining costs have surged from US$22 per barrel to over US$115 per barrel in just a few days.

Air India and its subsidiary, Air India Express, have launched a three-phase surcharge increase plan to cope with rising operating costs and high domestic taxes. Starting March 12, Air India will add a new surcharge of 399 rupees (US$4.30) to all domestic routes; surcharges for routes to Southeast Asia will increase to between US$40 and US$60.

In the second phase, which begins on March 18, Air India will significantly increase surcharges for long-haul routes: surcharges for routes to Europe will rise to US$125, and surcharges for routes to North America and Australia will rise to US$200; furthermore, surcharge adjustments for routes to Hong Kong and Japan are expected to be announced soon.

Qantas, while raising international fares, is shifting its capacity focus to the European market. As passengers avoid Middle Eastern air hubs, Qantas reports that its load factor for flights to Europe has exceeded 90%.

Qantas has announced an overall fare increase of approximately 5% and warned that if crude oil prices remain high, some routes may face operational difficulties due to unprofitability.

Rising fuel prices have caused operating costs for Vietnam Airlines and Vietjet Air to surge by 60% to 70%, forcing Vietnam Airlines to request an exemption from the environmental tax on aviation fuel to maintain operations.

Korean Air has begun discussions regarding a significant increase in fuel surcharges for April. Fuel surcharges on long-haul routes such as Incheon-New York could triple, with surcharges potentially reaching as high as 325,000 won (US$220) per ticket.

Singapore Airlines and its low-cost subsidiary Scoot have decided to extend the suspension of their Middle East routes. Currently, Singapore Airlines flights between Singapore and Dubai have been cancelled until March 28th; Scoot has extended the suspension of its Jeddah route to as early as March 17th.

Singapore Airlines is widely recognized for its robust fuel hedging mechanism, which provides some protection against soaring refined aviation fuel prices.

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